Less than two weeks After a powerful cyclone passed through West Bengal on its way to Bangladesh, India is bracing to face another cyclone, this would be much weaker than cyclone Amphan that stuck on May 20, in fact, it is not even a full-fledged cyclone right now, just a 'depression' that is likely to intensify into a 'Deep Depression' by Tuesday morning, and eventually into a cyclone, after which it would be called Nisarga. MAHARASHTRA and GUJARAT have to face a little problem during this Lockdown. After 1891 this is the biggest Cyclone that can cause so much trouble, the next 12 hours will decide the face of NISARGA .
Tropical cyclones are weather systems in which winds equal or exceed gale force which is a minimum of 62 kmph. The Indian subcontinent is the very much worst affected region of the world, India having a coastline of 7516 Kilometers which is affected by nearly 10 percent of the global tropical cyclones all around the globe. There are total 13 coastal states and Union Territories which include a total of 84 coastal districts that are affected by cyclones in which four States Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Odisha and one union territory that is Pondicherry on the East Coast and One State that is Gujarat on the West Coast are more vulnerable to cyclonic disasters. Nearly 40% of the total population lives within 100 km of coastline. After analysis of data from the period 1980-2000 shows that generally on average annually about 370 million people are exposed to cyclones affecting India.
Cyclones that occur in the month of May to June and October to November, with a primary peak in November and secondary peak in May. Although cyclones affect the entire coast of India the East Coast of India is more vulnerable as compared to the West Coast of India and on analysis of the frequencies of cyclones on the West and east coasts of India between the period of 1891 to 2000 marks that about 308 cyclones in which 103 cyclones were severe which affected the East Coast of India. During the same time period, about 48 tropical cyclones crossed the West Coast of India, in which 24 cyclones were severe cyclonic storms. Another thing is that out of the cyclones that initialize in the Bay of Bengal, about 58 percent approaches and crosses the East Coast of India in October and November. About 25 % of the cyclones that develop over the Arabian Sea approaches the West Coast of India. In the pre-monsoon season of India, the corresponding figures are about 25 percent are over the Arabian sea and 30 percent are over the Bay of Bengal.
These Recurring cyclones account for a large number of casualties which includes the loss of livelihood opportunities and the loss of public and private property and severe damage to the infrastructure of the nation, which seriously slows down the growth rate of a developing nation and reversing the developmental gains gained by the nation at regular intervals. While Broad-scale assessment of the population at risk suggests that about 320 million population of the Republic of India, which accounts for almost one-third fraction of the country’s total population are vulnerable to cyclonic hazards. Climate change is one of the major issues and its resultant rise in sea-level significantly increases the vulnerability of the coastal population.
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